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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3,7x - 4,1x | 3,9x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,1x - 2,3x | 2,2x |
Fair Value | ¥4,29 - ¥5,17 | ¥4,73 |
Upside | -15,8% - 1,5% | -7,1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Wuxi Huaguang Environment & Energy Group Co.,Ltd. | 600475 | SHSE:600475 |
Xizi Clean Energy Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd. | 2534 | SZSE:002534 |
Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. | 601727 | SHSE:601727 |
Zhejiang Feida Environmental Science & Technology Co., Ltd. | 600526 | SHSE:600526 |
Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd. | 688558 | SHSE:688558 |
China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd. | 2630 | SZSE:002630 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
600475 | 2534 | 601727 | 600526 | 688558 | 2630 | |||
SHSE:600475 | SZSE:002534 | SHSE:601727 | SHSE:600526 | SHSE:688558 | SZSE:002630 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 7.1% | 17.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 9.3% | -12.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 10.0% | 14.7% | -5.8% | 11.8% | -3.0% | -5.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -4.3% | -20.3% | 1.2% | -4.0% | -6.0% | 40.3% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.5% | 5.1% | -0.5% | 5.5% | 14.5% | -19.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 7.0% | 11.8% | -52.4% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 5.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 16.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.19x | 1.39x | 0.88x | 1.05x | 3.08x | 4.33x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 18.7x | 20.8x | 30.7x | 11.1x | 22.2x | 26.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.88x | 1.50x | 0.90x | 1.10x | 3.13x | 2.42x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.88x | 1.19x | 3.08x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.88x | 3.78x | 6.87x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.70x | 3.89x | 4.09x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 2,510 | 2,510 | 2,510 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,286 | 9,775 | 10,263 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,786) | (4,786) | (4,786) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 4,500 | 4,989 | 5,477 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,180.8 | 1,180.8 | 1,180.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 3.81 | 4.22 | 4.64 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.81 | 4.22 | 4.64 | 5.09 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -25.1% | -17.0% | -8.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 600475 | 2534 | 601727 | 600526 | 688558 | 2630 | |
Enterprise Value | 11,818 | 9,669 | 103,634 | 4,228 | 3,191 | 10,796 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,979 | 0 | 53,581 | 1,975 | 120 | 177 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4,657 | 0 | 20,773 | 94 | 0 | 168 | |
(-) Debt | (8,765) | 0 | (48,627) | (1,612) | (49) | (4,989) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1,975) | 0 | (24,190) | (245) | 0 | (141) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 8,715 | 9,669 | 105,171 | 4,440 | 3,262 | 6,010 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 940.1 | 739.2 | 13,676.3 | 889.7 | 131.0 | 1,180.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 9.27 | 13.08 | 7.69 | 4.99 | 24.90 | 5.09 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.27 | 13.08 | 7.69 | 4.99 | 24.90 | 5.09 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |