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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 11,2x - 12,4x | 11,8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,7x - 9,6x | 9,1x |
Fair Value | ¥15,41 - ¥16,65 | ¥16,03 |
Upside | 26,7% - 36,9% | 31,8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Suzhou New District Hi-Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd | 600736 | SHSE:600736 |
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. | 1979 | SZSE:001979 |
Zhong An Intelligent Living Service Limited | 2271 | SEHK:2271 |
Shunfa Hengneng Corporation | 631 | SZSE:000631 |
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited | 817 | SEHK:817 |
China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co., Ltd. | 1914 | SZSE:001914 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
600736 | 1979 | 2271 | 631 | 817 | 1914 | ||
SHSE:600736 | SZSE:001979 | SEHK:2271 | SZSE:000631 | SEHK:817 | SZSE:001914 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -40.9% | -12.8% | 5.4% | -18.2% | -17.4% | 12.5% | |
3Y CAGR | -39.6% | -26.5% | -12.7% | 15.0% | -29.4% | 13.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -53.2% | -25.5% | -25.5% | -70.7% | 54.9% | 20.1% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.5% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 25.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.5% | 7.2% | 18.6% | 30.4% | 3.0% | 6.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.1% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 3.5% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 5.29x | 1.86x | 0.51x | 1.93x | 1.88x | 0.53x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 60.8x | 26.8x | 4.2x | 10.5x | 28.0x | 7.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 152.8x | 35.5x | 4.3x | 15.7x | 32.9x | 8.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.3x | 32.9x | 152.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.0x | 20.9x | 29.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 11.2x | 11.8x | 12.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 1,131 | 1,131 | 1,131 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12,677 | 13,344 | 14,011 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 3,875 | 3,875 | 3,875 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 16,552 | 17,219 | 17,886 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,059.4 | 1,059.4 | 1,059.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 15.62 | 16.25 | 16.88 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.62 | 16.25 | 16.88 | 12.16 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 28.5% | 33.7% | 38.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 600736 | 1979 | 2271 | 631 | 817 | 1914 | |
Enterprise Value | 44,185 | 332,033 | 211 | 1,301 | 110,421 | 9,007 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,910 | 100,352 | 137 | 5,002 | 30,805 | 4,669 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 6,126 | 78,183 | 0 | 35 | 59,408 | 305 | |
(-) Debt | (40,672) | (247,935) | 0 | (0) | (130,879) | (948) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (8,355) | (175,738) | (1) | (67) | (54,703) | (151) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,194 | 86,895 | 347 | 6,271 | 15,052 | 12,882 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,151.3 | 9,042.2 | 517.4 | 2,340.0 | 13,506.0 | 1,059.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 5.38 | 9.61 | 0.67 | 2.68 | 1.11 | 12.16 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.38 | 9.61 | 0.71 | 2.68 | 1.18 | 12.16 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | HKD | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 |