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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2,2x - 2,4x | 2,3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,8x - 0,9x | 0,8x |
| Fair Value | ₺18,42 - ₺20,54 | ₺19,48 |
| Upside | 55,7% - 73,6% | 64,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Metemtur Yatirim Enerji Turizm ve Insaat Anonim Sirketi | METUR | IBSE:METUR |
| Flap Kongre Toplanti Hizmetleri Otomotiv ve Turizm A.S. | FLAP | IBSE:FLAP |
| Gezinomi Seyahat Turizm Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | GZNMI | IBSE:GZNMI |
| Büyük Sefler Gida Turizm Tekstil Danismanlik Organizasyon Egitim Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. | BIGCH | IBSE:BIGCH |
| Tab Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | TABGD | IBSE:TABGD |
| Etiler Gida Ve Ticari Yatirimlar Sanayi Ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | ETILR | IBSE:ETILR |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| METUR | FLAP | GZNMI | BIGCH | TABGD | ETILR | |||
| IBSE:METUR | IBSE:FLAP | IBSE:GZNMI | IBSE:BIGCH | IBSE:TABGD | IBSE:ETILR | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 65.8% | 50.2% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 207.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 171.2% | 97.8% | 147.1% | 132.0% | 102.9% | 235.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -34.5% | -6.9% | 19.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 131.2% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 30.6% | -22.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.7% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.7% | 0.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.7% | 0.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 8.98x | 1.40x | 4.35x | 0.96x | 1.34x | 1.47x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 133.8x | 154.5x | 89.2x | 13.2x | 15.4x | 14.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 8.83x | 1.95x | 4.32x | 0.83x | 1.41x | 1.29x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.96x | 1.40x | 8.98x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.32x | 5.01x | 60.09x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.19x | 2.30x | 2.42x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,104 | 1,104 | 1,104 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,414 | 2,541 | 2,668 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (204) | (204) | (204) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,210 | 2,337 | 2,464 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 120.0 | 120.0 | 120.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 18.42 | 19.48 | 20.54 | |||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 18.42 | 19.48 | 20.54 | 11.83 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 55.7% | 64.6% | 73.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | METUR | FLAP | GZNMI | BIGCH | TABGD | ETILR | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,915 | 496 | 11,115 | 3,333 | 42,805 | 1,623 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8 | 20 | 306 | 104 | 6,033 | 26 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 180 | 383 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (40) | (2) | (754) | (560) | (3,669) | (230) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,884 | 694 | 11,050 | 2,876 | 45,170 | 1,420 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 108.0 | 93.8 | 65.0 | 107.0 | 261.1 | 120.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 17.44 | 7.40 | 170.00 | 26.88 | 173.00 | 11.83 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 17.44 | 7.40 | 170.00 | 26.88 | 173.00 | 11.83 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |